FSBC

FSBC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($39.18)
DCF$19.70-49.7%
Graham Number$36.90-5.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$20.60-47.4%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 20.1% / EPS: 32.6%
Computed: 6.44%
Computed WACC: 6.44%
Cost of equity (Re)7.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.70%
Debt weight (D/V)9.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$19.70
Current Price$39.18
Upside / Downside-49.7%
Net Debt (used)-$421.04M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term24.6%28.6%32.6%36.6%40.6%
7.0%$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70
8.0%$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70
9.0%$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70
10.0%$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70
11.0%$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70$19.70

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.90
Yahoo: $20.86

Results

Graham Number$36.90
Current Price$39.18
Margin of Safety-5.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.44%
Computed WACC: 6.44%
Cost of equity (Re)7.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.70%
Debt weight (D/V)9.30%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$39.18
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth20.1%
Historical Earnings Growth32.6%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$39.18
Upside / Downside-47.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$421.04M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.70
Current Price$39.18
Upside / Downside-49.7%
Implied EV$0