FSP

FSP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($0.75)
DCF$7.62+915.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -16.0%
DDM$0.82+9.8%
EV/EBITDA$0.82+9.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $57.33M
Rev: -8.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.24%
Computed WACC: 2.24%
Cost of equity (Re)9.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)23.88%
Debt weight (D/V)76.12%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$0.75
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$216.56M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$7.70$9.68$11.98$14.65$17.72
8.0%$5.96$7.55$9.40$11.54$14.00
9.0%$4.75$6.08$7.62$9.39$11.44
10.0%$3.87$5.00$6.31$7.82$9.55
11.0%$3.19$4.17$5.31$6.62$8.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.44
Yahoo: $5.93

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$0.75
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.24%
Computed WACC: 2.24%
Cost of equity (Re)9.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)23.88%
Debt weight (D/V)76.12%

Results

Current Price$0.75
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-8.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$57.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$0.82
Current Price$0.75
Upside / Downside+9.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $31.88M
Current: 9.5×
Default: $216.56M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.82
Current Price$0.75
Upside / Downside+9.7%
Implied EV$301.88M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.78B-$783.45M$216.56M$1.22B$2.22B
5.5x$18.88$9.24$-0.41$-10.05$-19.70
7.5x$19.50$9.85$0.21$-9.44$-19.08
9.5x$20.11$10.47$0.82$-8.82$-18.47
11.5x$20.73$11.08$1.44$-8.21$-17.85
13.5x$21.34$11.70$2.05$-7.59$-17.24