FTCO

FTCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.85)
DCF$-5.14-187.8%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$3.71-36.6%
EV/EBITDA$5.85+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$6.81M
Rev: -54.5% / EPS: -75.6%
Computed: 6.87%
Computed WACC: 6.87%
Cost of equity (Re)7.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.15%
Debt weight (D/V)10.85%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-7.56
Current Price$5.85
Upside / Downside-229.2%
Net Debt (used)$5.63M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-5.18$-6.18$-7.34$-8.69$-10.24
8.0%$-4.30$-5.10$-6.04$-7.12$-8.37
9.0%$-3.69$-4.36$-5.14$-6.04$-7.07
10.0%$-3.24$-3.81$-4.48$-5.24$-6.12
11.0%$-2.90$-3.39$-3.97$-4.63$-5.39

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.01
Yahoo: $4.38

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$5.85
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.87%
Computed WACC: 6.87%
Cost of equity (Re)7.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.15%
Debt weight (D/V)10.85%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$5.85
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-54.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-75.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$6.81M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.18

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$3.71
Current Price$5.85
Upside / Downside-36.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.36M
Current: 34.0×
Default: $5.63M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.85
Current Price$5.85
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$148.22M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$994.37M$5.63M$1.01B$2.01B
30.0x$87.19$46.16$5.13$-35.89$-76.92
32.0x$87.54$46.52$5.49$-35.53$-76.56
34.0x$87.90$46.88$5.85$-35.18$-76.20
36.0x$88.26$47.23$6.21$-34.82$-75.84
38.0x$88.62$47.59$6.57$-34.46$-75.49