FTNT

FTNT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($79.18)
DCF$76.30-3.6%
Graham Number$9.52-88.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$78.78-0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.75B
Rev: 14.8% / EPS: -1.1%
Computed: 9.92%
Computed WACC: 9.92%
Cost of equity (Re)10.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.28%
Debt weight (D/V)1.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$66.33
Current Price$79.18
Upside / Downside-16.2%
Net Debt (used)-$2.52B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.8%10.8%14.8%18.8%22.8%
7.0%$80.85$95.50$112.36$131.66$153.68
8.0%$65.94$77.60$91.01$106.34$123.82
9.0%$55.66$65.27$76.30$88.91$103.26
10.0%$48.16$56.27$65.58$76.20$88.29
11.0%$42.46$49.44$57.43$66.55$76.92

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.42
Yahoo: $1.67

Results

Graham Number$9.52
Current Price$79.18
Margin of Safety-88.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.92%
Computed WACC: 9.92%
Cost of equity (Re)10.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.28%
Debt weight (D/V)1.72%

Results

Current Price$79.18
Implied Near-term FCF Growth18.1%
Historical Revenue Growth14.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-1.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.75B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$79.18
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.23B
Current: 25.2×
Default: -$2.52B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$78.78
Current Price$79.18
Upside / Downside-0.5%
Implied EV$56.07B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$4.52B-$3.52B-$2.52B-$1.52B-$520.70M
21.2x$69.50$68.15$66.81$65.46$64.12
23.2x$75.49$74.14$72.80$71.45$70.11
25.2x$81.47$80.13$78.78$77.44$76.09
27.2x$87.46$86.12$84.77$83.43$82.08
29.2x$93.45$92.10$90.76$89.41$88.07