GAP

GAP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.15)
DCF$20.98-25.5%
Graham Number$22.13-21.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.8%
DDM$14.42-48.8%
EV/EBITDA$28.15-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $615.37M
Rev: 3.0% / EPS: -13.9%
Computed: 12.47%
Computed WACC: 12.47%
Cost of equity (Re)16.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.49%
Debt weight (D/V)34.51%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$10.76
Current Price$28.15
Upside / Downside-61.8%
Net Debt (used)$3.00B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$21.23$27.16$34.05$42.03$51.22
8.0%$16.02$20.79$26.33$32.73$40.10
9.0%$12.41$16.38$20.98$26.30$32.41
10.0%$9.76$13.14$17.07$21.59$26.78
11.0%$7.73$10.67$14.07$17.99$22.48

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.22
Yahoo: $9.80

Results

Graham Number$22.13
Current Price$28.15
Margin of Safety-21.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.47%
Computed WACC: 12.47%
Cost of equity (Re)16.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.49%
Debt weight (D/V)34.51%

Results

Current Price$28.15
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.3%
Historical Revenue Growth3.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-13.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$615.37M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.70

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.42
Current Price$28.15
Upside / Downside-48.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.67B
Current: 8.1×
Default: $3.00B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$28.15
Current Price$28.15
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$13.47B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$999.00M$2.00B$3.00B$4.00B$5.00B
4.1x$15.54$12.85$10.17$7.48$4.79
6.1x$24.53$21.85$19.16$16.47$13.78
8.1x$33.53$30.84$28.15$25.46$22.77
10.1x$42.52$39.83$37.14$34.45$31.76
12.1x$51.51$48.82$46.13$43.44$40.75