GAU

GAU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.58)
DCF$5.720969093094301e+24+1.598036059523548e+26%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$3.53-1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $56.11M
Rev: -2.6% / EPS: 40380.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5.720969093094301e+24
Current Price$3.58
Upside / Downside+1.598036059523548e+26%
Net Debt (used)-$75.78M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term40372.6%40376.6%40380.6%40384.6%40388.6%
7.0%$9.7517533626576e+24$9.75657325618039e+24$9.761395055336078e+24$9.766218760689673e+24$9.771044372806288e+24
8.0%$7.338279529501173e+24$7.341906541450439e+24$7.345534987405098e+24$7.349164867790319e+24$7.35279618303136e+24
9.0%$5.715318279301192e+24$5.718143127770039e+24$5.720969093094301e+24$5.723796175605118e+24$5.726624375633691e+24
10.0%$4.5626625421539667e+24$4.564917679954909e+24$4.567173709365754e+24$4.5694306306508534e+24$4.57168844407462e+24
11.0%$3.7111590336548745e+24$3.712993308038479e+24$3.7148283076359486e+24$3.7166640326623046e+24$3.71850048333261e+24

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.11
Yahoo: $0.84

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$3.58
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$3.58
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.6%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth40380.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$56.11M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$3.58
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $83.51M
Current: 10.1×
Default: -$75.78M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.53
Current Price$3.58
Upside / Downside-1.4%
Implied EV$841.51M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.08B-$1.08B-$75.78M$924.22M$1.92B
6.1x$9.94$6.09$2.25$-1.60$-5.45
8.1x$10.59$6.74$2.89$-0.96$-4.81
10.1x$11.23$7.38$3.53$-0.32$-4.17
12.1x$11.87$8.02$4.17$0.32$-3.52
14.1x$12.52$8.67$4.82$0.97$-2.88