GBDC

GBDC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.99)
DCF$1.93-83.9%
Graham Number$20.43+70.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.0%
DDM$30.90+157.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $301.43M
Rev: -6.2% / EPS: -41.2%
Computed: 2.64%
Computed WACC: 2.64%
Cost of equity (Re)6.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.28%
Debt weight (D/V)60.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$927.27
Current Price$11.99
Upside / Downside+7633.7%
Net Debt (used)$4.79B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$2.10$6.20$10.97$16.49$22.85
8.0%$-1.51$1.79$5.62$10.06$15.15
9.0%$-4.01$-1.26$1.93$5.60$9.83
10.0%$-5.85$-3.50$-0.79$2.34$5.94
11.0%$-7.25$-5.21$-2.86$-0.15$2.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.25
Yahoo: $14.84

Results

Graham Number$20.43
Current Price$11.99
Margin of Safety+70.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.64%
Computed WACC: 2.64%
Cost of equity (Re)6.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.28%
Debt weight (D/V)60.72%

Results

Current Price$11.99
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-6.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-41.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$301.43M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.90
Current Price$11.99
Upside / Downside+157.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $4.79B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-18.18
Current Price$11.99
Upside / Downside-251.6%
Implied EV$0