GBLI

GBLI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.50)
DCF$118.46+315.7%
Graham Number$46.19+62.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$28.84+1.2%
EV/EBITDA$37.27+30.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $67.27M
Rev: 2.2% / EPS: -6.5%
Computed: 6.37%
Computed WACC: 6.37%
Cost of equity (Re)6.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.86%
Debt weight (D/V)2.14%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$195.61
Current Price$28.50
Upside / Downside+586.4%
Net Debt (used)-$66.44M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$119.43$142.30$168.91$199.71$235.19
8.0%$99.30$117.71$139.10$163.82$192.25
9.0%$85.35$100.68$118.46$138.99$162.57
10.0%$75.11$88.19$103.34$120.80$140.84
11.0%$67.27$78.63$91.78$106.90$124.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.94
Yahoo: $48.88

Results

Graham Number$46.19
Current Price$28.50
Margin of Safety+62.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.37%
Computed WACC: 6.37%
Cost of equity (Re)6.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.86%
Debt weight (D/V)2.14%

Results

Current Price$28.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth2.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$67.27M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$28.50
Upside / Downside+1.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $37.64M
Current: 8.7×
Default: -$66.44M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$37.27
Current Price$28.50
Upside / Downside+30.8%
Implied EV$326.06M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.07B-$1.07B-$66.44M$933.56M$1.93B
4.7x$212.90$117.94$22.98$-71.99$-166.95
6.7x$220.05$125.09$30.12$-64.84$-159.80
8.7x$227.20$132.24$37.27$-57.69$-152.65
10.7x$234.35$139.39$44.42$-50.54$-145.51
12.7x$241.50$146.53$51.57$-43.39$-138.36