GCBC

GCBC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.71)
DCF$-5.06-122.3%
Graham Number$27.09+19.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$8.03-64.6%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 26.1% / EPS: 36.4%
Computed: 4.16%
Computed WACC: 4.16%
Cost of equity (Re)6.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.13%
Debt weight (D/V)35.87%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.06
Current Price$22.71
Upside / Downside-122.3%
Net Debt (used)$86.12M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term28.4%32.4%36.4%40.4%44.4%
7.0%$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06
8.0%$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06
9.0%$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06
10.0%$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06
11.0%$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06$-5.06

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.15
Yahoo: $15.17

Results

Graham Number$27.09
Current Price$22.71
Margin of Safety+19.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.16%
Computed WACC: 4.16%
Cost of equity (Re)6.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.13%
Debt weight (D/V)35.87%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$22.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth26.1%
Historical Earnings Growth36.4%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.39

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.03
Current Price$22.71
Upside / Downside-64.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $86.12M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-5.06
Current Price$22.71
Upside / Downside-122.3%
Implied EV$0