GCT

GCT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($43.01)
DCF$500.06+1062.7%
Graham Number$31.31-27.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -4.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$54.35+26.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $132.41M
Rev: 22.6% / EPS: 37.7%
Computed: 13.02%
Computed WACC: 13.02%
Cost of equity (Re)16.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.52%
Debt weight (D/V)22.48%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$266.70
Current Price$43.01
Upside / Downside+520.1%
Net Debt (used)$53.58M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term29.7%33.7%37.7%41.7%45.7%
7.0%$584.72$678.61$784.27$902.79$1035.32
8.0%$459.90$533.36$616.00$708.68$812.27
9.0%$374.52$434.03$500.94$575.95$659.78
10.0%$312.74$362.16$417.71$479.95$549.49
11.0%$266.17$307.99$354.98$407.62$466.40

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.31
Yahoo: $13.16

Results

Graham Number$31.31
Current Price$43.01
Margin of Safety-27.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 13.02%
Computed WACC: 13.02%
Cost of equity (Re)16.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.52%
Debt weight (D/V)22.48%

Results

Current Price$43.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.2%
Historical Revenue Growth22.6%
Historical Earnings Growth37.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$132.41M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$43.01
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $153.40M
Current: 10.6×
Default: $53.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$54.35
Current Price$43.01
Upside / Downside+26.4%
Implied EV$1.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.95B-$946.42M$53.58M$1.05B$2.05B
6.6x$102.19$67.68$33.17$-1.33$-35.84
8.6x$112.77$78.27$43.76$9.25$-25.25
10.6x$123.36$88.85$54.35$19.84$-14.67
12.6x$133.95$99.44$64.93$30.43$-4.08
14.6x$144.53$110.03$75.52$41.01$6.51