GCTK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.49)
DCF	$-170.70	-11556.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$10.09M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 2.68%

Computed WACC: 2.68%

Cost of equity (Re)6.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.35 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)1.33%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)31.36%

Debt weight (D/V)68.64%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-6403.82

Current Price$1.49

Upside / Downside-429886.7%

Net Debt (used)-$4.57M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-172.20	$-207.94	$-249.52	$-297.63	$-353.06
8.0%	$-140.76	$-169.52	$-202.93	$-241.55	$-285.98
9.0%	$-118.97	$-142.92	$-170.70	$-202.76	$-239.61
10.0%	$-102.97	$-123.40	$-147.07	$-174.35	$-205.66
11.0%	$-90.72	$-108.47	$-129.00	$-152.64	$-179.74

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1268.49

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $3.06

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.49

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 2.68%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 2.68%

Cost of equity (Re)6.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.35 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)1.33%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)31.36%

Debt weight (D/V)68.64%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.49

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$10.09M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.49

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$16.38M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 0.2×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$4.57M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.34

Current Price$1.49

Upside / Downside-9.8%

Implied EV-$3.21M

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