GD

GD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($357.05)
DCF$229.26-35.8%
Graham Number$181.69-49.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.8%
DDM$123.60-65.4%
EV/EBITDA$356.50-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.36B
Rev: 7.8% / EPS: 0.4%
Computed: 5.89%
Computed WACC: 5.89%
Cost of equity (Re)6.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.79%
Debt weight (D/V)9.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$475.47
Current Price$357.05
Upside / Downside+33.2%
Net Debt (used)$7.46B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.2%3.8%7.8%11.8%15.8%
7.0%$235.55$287.79$348.38$418.28$498.56
8.0%$187.50$229.41$277.94$333.86$398.01
9.0%$154.27$189.04$229.26$275.55$328.60
10.0%$129.92$159.49$193.64$232.91$277.86
11.0%$111.32$136.93$166.47$200.39$239.18

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $15.46
Yahoo: $94.90

Results

Graham Number$181.69
Current Price$357.05
Margin of Safety-49.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.89%
Computed WACC: 5.89%
Cost of equity (Re)6.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.79%
Debt weight (D/V)9.21%

Results

Current Price$357.05
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.6%
Historical Revenue Growth7.8%
Historical Earnings Growth0.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$3.36B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$123.60
Current Price$357.05
Upside / Downside-65.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.34B
Current: 16.4×
Default: $7.46B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$356.50
Current Price$357.05
Upside / Downside-0.2%
Implied EV$103.85B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.46B$5.46B$7.46B$9.46B$11.46B
12.4x$277.45$270.05$262.66$255.26$247.86
14.4x$324.37$316.98$309.58$302.18$294.79
16.4x$371.30$363.90$356.50$349.11$341.71
18.4x$418.22$410.83$403.43$396.03$388.64
20.4x$465.15$457.75$450.35$442.96$435.56