GDEN

GDEN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.31)
DCF$8.11-72.3%
Graham Number$8.92-69.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.3%
DDM$20.60-29.7%
EV/EBITDA$28.93-1.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $38.44M
Rev: -5.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.33%
Computed WACC: 7.33%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.38%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.70%
Debt weight (D/V)40.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$17.13
Current Price$29.31
Upside / Downside-41.6%
Net Debt (used)$462.63M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$8.33$13.59$19.70$26.78$34.94
8.0%$3.70$7.93$12.85$18.53$25.07
9.0%$0.49$4.02$8.11$12.82$18.25
10.0%$-1.86$1.15$4.63$8.64$13.25
11.0%$-3.66$-1.05$1.97$5.45$9.44

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.22
Yahoo: $16.07

Results

Graham Number$8.92
Current Price$29.31
Margin of Safety-69.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.33%
Computed WACC: 7.33%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.38%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.70%
Debt weight (D/V)40.30%

Results

Current Price$29.31
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.9%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$38.44M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$29.31
Upside / Downside-29.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $122.05M
Current: 10.0×
Default: $462.63M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$28.93
Current Price$29.31
Upside / Downside-1.3%
Implied EV$1.22B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.54B-$537.37M$462.63M$1.46B$2.46B
6.0x$86.69$48.48$10.28$-27.93$-66.14
8.0x$96.01$57.81$19.60$-18.60$-56.81
10.0x$105.34$67.13$28.93$-9.28$-47.48
12.0x$114.67$76.46$38.25$0.05$-38.16
14.0x$123.99$85.79$47.58$9.38$-28.83