GECC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($6.23)
DCF	$14.31	+129.7%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -0.6%
DDM	$30.49	+389.4%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $22.81M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -9.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.50%

Computed WACC: 7.50%

Cost of equity (Re)8.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)9.19%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)30.34%

Debt weight (D/V)69.66%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$23.00

Current Price$6.23

Upside / Downside+269.2%

Net Debt (used)$200.19M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$14.56	$20.39	$27.18	$35.04	$44.09
8.0%	$9.42	$14.12	$19.58	$25.88	$33.14
9.0%	$5.86	$9.78	$14.31	$19.55	$25.57
10.0%	$3.25	$6.59	$10.45	$14.91	$20.02
11.0%	$1.25	$4.15	$7.50	$11.36	$15.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.65

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $10.01

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$6.23

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.50%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.50%

Cost of equity (Re)8.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)9.19%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)30.34%

Debt weight (D/V)69.66%

Results

Current Price$6.23

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.6%

Historical Revenue Growth-9.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$22.81M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.48

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.49

Current Price$6.23

Upside / Downside+389.4%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $200.19M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-14.30

Current Price$6.23

Upside / Downside-329.6%

Implied EV$0

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