GEF

GEF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($73.16)
DCF$-36.71-150.2%
Graham Number$53.39-27.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$45.73-37.5%
EV/EBITDA$173.90+137.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -2.2% / EPS: 691.7%
Computed: 7.33%
Computed WACC: 7.33%
Cost of equity (Re)9.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.37%
Debt weight (D/V)21.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-36.71
Current Price$73.16
Upside / Downside-150.2%
Net Debt (used)$908.60M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term683.7%687.7%691.7%695.7%699.7%
7.0%$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71
8.0%$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71
9.0%$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71
10.0%$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71
11.0%$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71$-36.71

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.42
Yahoo: $52.34

Results

Graham Number$53.39
Current Price$73.16
Margin of Safety-27.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.33%
Computed WACC: 7.33%
Cost of equity (Re)9.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.37%
Debt weight (D/V)21.63%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$73.16
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-2.2%
Historical Earnings Growth691.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.22

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$45.73
Current Price$73.16
Upside / Downside-37.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $578.52M
Current: 9.0×
Default: $908.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$173.90
Current Price$73.16
Upside / Downside+137.7%
Implied EV$5.21B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.09B-$91.40M$908.60M$1.91B$2.91B
5.0x$161.21$120.81$80.41$40.01$-0.39
7.0x$207.96$167.56$127.16$86.76$46.36
9.0x$254.70$214.30$173.90$133.50$93.10
11.0x$301.45$261.05$220.65$180.25$139.85
13.0x$348.19$307.79$267.39$226.99$186.59