GEO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($15.29)
DCF	$-4282.07	-28105.7%
Graham Number	$21.47	+40.4%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$14.48	-5.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$151.61M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 16.5% / EPS: 117.7%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.01%

Computed WACC: 8.01%

Cost of equity (Re)8.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)9.40%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)55.64%

Debt weight (D/V)44.36%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5392.75

Current Price$15.29

Upside / Downside-35369.8%

Net Debt (used)$1.66B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	109.7%	113.7%	117.7%	121.7%	125.7%
7.0%	$-5854.68	$-6432.51	$-7055.20	$-7725.32	$-8445.53
8.0%	$-4487.04	$-4929.39	$-5406.07	$-5919.05	$-6470.35
9.0%	$-3560.16	$-3910.70	$-4288.44	$-4694.92	$-5131.77
10.0%	$-2896.23	$-3181.01	$-3487.88	$-3818.09	$-4172.96
11.0%	$-2401.23	$-2636.99	$-2891.02	$-3164.38	$-3458.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $1.82

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $11.26

Results

Graham Number$21.47

Current Price$15.29

Margin of Safety+40.4%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.01%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.01%

Cost of equity (Re)8.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)9.40%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)55.64%

Debt weight (D/V)44.36%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$15.29

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth16.5%

Historical Earnings Growth117.7%

Base FCF (TTM)-$151.61M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$15.29

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $429.13M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 8.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.66B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.48

Current Price$15.29

Upside / Downside-5.3%

Implied EV$3.67B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.66B	$1.66B	$1.66B	$1.66B	$1.66B
4.6x	$2.15	$2.15	$2.15	$2.15	$2.15
6.6x	$8.31	$8.31	$8.31	$8.31	$8.31
8.6x	$14.48	$14.48	$14.48	$14.48	$14.48
10.6x	$20.64	$20.64	$20.64	$20.64	$20.64
12.6x	$26.81	$26.81	$26.81	$26.81	$26.81

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