GEVO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.92)
DCF	$-1638312255823.25	-85551553828990.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$60.49M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 2073.5% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.29%

Computed WACC: 9.29%

Cost of equity (Re)12.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)73.45%

Debt weight (D/V)26.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1532049661416.96

Current Price$1.92

Upside / Downside-80002593285580.7%

Net Debt (used)$95.16M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	2065.5%	2069.5%	2073.5%	2077.5%	2081.5%
7.0%	$-2739843965583.98	$-2765242113514.08	$-2790828264352.24	$-2816603459902.75	$-2842568745811.56
8.0%	$-2063658280425.29	$-2082788237784.87	$-2102059799470.13	$-2121473750171.04	$-2141030877471.10
9.0%	$-1608735980757.57	$-1623648842530.69	$-1638672092722.01	$-1653806343040.85	$-1669052207452.17
10.0%	$-1285475887253.99	$-1297392152214.28	$-1309396624096.80	$-1321489791693.70	$-1333672145599.60
11.0%	$-1046542313813.06	$-1056243682475.17	$-1066016862889.77	$-1075862252996.41	$-1085780252202.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.21

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.99

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.92

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.29%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.29%

Cost of equity (Re)12.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)73.45%

Debt weight (D/V)26.55%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.92

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth2073.5%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$60.49M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.92

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$1.89M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -290.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: $95.16M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.87

Current Price$1.92

Upside / Downside-2.1%

Implied EV$549.25M

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