GFF

GFF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($84.56)
DCF$54.99-35.0%
Graham Number$7.29-91.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.0%
DDM$18.13-78.6%
EV/EBITDA$84.56+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $228.64M
Rev: 2.6% / EPS: -5.4%
Computed: 9.56%
Computed WACC: 9.56%
Cost of equity (Re)11.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.56%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.79%
Debt weight (D/V)28.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$48.08
Current Price$84.56
Upside / Downside-43.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.45B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$55.73$73.31$93.76$117.42$144.68
8.0%$40.27$54.41$70.85$89.84$111.69
9.0%$29.55$41.33$54.99$70.76$88.88
10.0%$21.68$31.73$43.37$56.79$72.18
11.0%$15.66$24.39$34.49$46.11$59.44

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.01
Yahoo: $2.34

Results

Graham Number$7.29
Current Price$84.56
Margin of Safety-91.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.56%
Computed WACC: 9.56%
Cost of equity (Re)11.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.56%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.79%
Debt weight (D/V)28.21%

Results

Current Price$84.56
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.6%
Historical Revenue Growth2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-5.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$228.64M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.13
Current Price$84.56
Upside / Downside-78.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $519.50M
Current: 10.4×
Default: $1.45B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$84.56
Current Price$84.56
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$5.39B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.45B$1.45B$1.45B$1.45B$1.45B
6.4x$39.95$39.95$39.95$39.95$39.95
8.4x$62.25$62.25$62.25$62.25$62.25
10.4x$84.56$84.56$84.56$84.56$84.56
12.4x$106.87$106.87$106.87$106.87$106.87
14.4x$129.17$129.17$129.17$129.17$129.17