GFI

GFI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($51.53)
DCF$150719.27+292388.4%
Graham Number$28.91-43.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.9%
DDM$16.27-68.4%
EV/EBITDA$58.19+12.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.56B
Rev: 71.4% / EPS: 196.1%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$150534.24
Current Price$51.53
Upside / Downside+292029.3%
Net Debt (used)$1.44B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term188.1%192.1%196.1%200.1%204.1%
7.0%$219236.98$234879.94$251403.41$268844.05$287239.53
8.0%$166749.19$178645.98$191212.37$204476.24$218466.23
9.0%$131276.96$140642.06$150534.24$160975.42$171988.15
10.0%$105946.26$113503.52$121486.07$129911.61$138798.34
11.0%$87123.82$93337.76$99901.36$106829.18$114136.18

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.94
Yahoo: $9.43

Results

Graham Number$28.91
Current Price$51.53
Margin of Safety-43.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$51.53
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.9%
Historical Revenue Growth71.4%
Historical Earnings Growth196.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.56B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.79

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.27
Current Price$51.53
Upside / Downside-68.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.31B
Current: 10.1×
Default: $1.44B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$58.19
Current Price$51.53
Upside / Downside+12.9%
Implied EV$53.52B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.44B$1.44B$1.44B$1.44B$1.44B
6.1x$34.47$34.47$34.47$34.47$34.47
8.1x$46.33$46.33$46.33$46.33$46.33
10.1x$58.19$58.19$58.19$58.19$58.19
12.1x$70.05$70.05$70.05$70.05$70.05
14.1x$81.91$81.91$81.91$81.91$81.91