GFL

GFL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.21)
DCF$23.35-48.4%
Graham Number$11.73-74.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.0%
DDM$1.24-97.3%
EV/EBITDA$47.28+4.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $792.91M
Rev: 7.3% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$23.27
Current Price$45.21
Upside / Downside-48.5%
Net Debt (used)$7.85B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.7%3.3%7.3%11.3%15.3%
7.0%$24.26$33.61$44.46$56.98$71.37
8.0%$15.73$23.24$31.93$41.96$53.46
9.0%$9.83$16.06$23.27$31.58$41.10
10.0%$5.51$10.81$16.94$23.98$32.05
11.0%$2.20$6.80$12.10$18.19$25.16

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.41
Yahoo: $14.93

Results

Graham Number$11.73
Current Price$45.21
Margin of Safety-74.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$45.21
Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.0%
Historical Revenue Growth7.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$792.91M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.06

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.24
Current Price$45.21
Upside / Downside-97.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.62B
Current: 14.9×
Default: $7.85B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$47.28
Current Price$45.21
Upside / Downside+4.6%
Implied EV$24.21B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.85B$5.85B$7.85B$9.85B$11.85B
10.9x$40.06$34.28$28.50$22.72$16.95
12.9x$49.45$43.67$37.89$32.11$26.34
14.9x$58.84$53.06$47.28$41.50$35.73
16.9x$68.23$62.45$56.67$50.89$45.12
18.9x$77.62$71.84$66.06$60.28$54.51