GFR

GFR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.02)
DCF$4.81-20.1%
Graham Number$15.92+164.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$3.34-44.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $46.58M
Rev: -26.1% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.81
Current Price$6.02
Upside / Downside-20.1%
Net Debt (used)$214.80M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$4.86$6.19$7.74$9.53$11.60
8.0%$3.69$4.76$6.01$7.45$9.10
9.0%$2.88$3.77$4.81$6.00$7.37
10.0%$2.29$3.05$3.93$4.94$6.11
11.0%$1.83$2.49$3.26$4.14$5.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.23
Yahoo: $9.16

Results

Graham Number$15.92
Current Price$6.02
Margin of Safety+164.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$6.02
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.9%
Historical Revenue Growth-26.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$46.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$6.02
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $200.58M
Current: 3.2×
Default: $214.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.34
Current Price$6.02
Upside / Downside-44.4%
Implied EV$634.23M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.79B-$785.20M$214.80M$1.21B$2.21B
-0.8x$12.90$4.92$-3.05$-11.03$-19.00
1.2x$16.09$8.12$0.15$-7.83$-15.80
3.2x$19.29$11.32$3.34$-4.63$-12.60
5.2x$22.49$14.52$6.54$-1.43$-9.40
7.2x$25.69$17.72$9.74$1.77$-6.21