GGB

GGB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.04)
DCF$2.66-34.1%
Graham Number$5.87+45.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.2%
DDM$2.27-43.9%
EV/EBITDA$6.52+61.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $714.71M
Rev: 0.9% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2.66
Current Price$4.04
Upside / Downside-34.1%
Net Debt (used)$9.20B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$2.75$4.78$7.15$9.89$13.04
8.0%$0.96$2.59$4.50$6.70$9.23
9.0%$-0.28$1.08$2.66$4.49$6.58
10.0%$-1.19$-0.03$1.32$2.87$4.65
11.0%$-1.89$-0.88$0.29$1.63$3.18

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.29
Yahoo: $5.28

Results

Graham Number$5.87
Current Price$4.04
Margin of Safety+45.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$4.04
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.2%
Historical Revenue Growth0.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$714.71M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.11

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.27
Current Price$4.04
Upside / Downside-43.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.79B
Current: 2.0×
Default: $9.20B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.52
Current Price$4.04
Upside / Downside+61.3%
Implied EV$17.40B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.20B$7.20B$9.20B$11.20B$13.20B
-2.0x$-18.24$-19.83$-21.42$-23.01$-24.60
-0.0x$-4.27$-5.86$-7.45$-9.04$-10.63
2.0x$9.70$8.11$6.52$4.93$3.34
4.0x$23.67$22.08$20.49$18.90$17.31
6.0x$37.64$36.05$34.46$32.87$31.28