GHC

GHC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1049.19)
DCF$1173.06+11.8%
Graham Number$1282.13+22.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.2%
DDM$154.91-85.2%
EV/EBITDA$1368.57+30.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $233.51M
Rev: 0.4% / EPS: -80.1%
Computed: 6.42%
Computed WACC: 6.42%
Cost of equity (Re)8.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.70%
Debt weight (D/V)24.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1976.74
Current Price$1049.19
Upside / Downside+88.4%
Net Debt (used)$112.95M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$1183.43$1429.46$1715.70$2046.98$2428.55
8.0%$966.94$1164.97$1395.00$1660.89$1966.76
9.0%$816.92$981.81$1173.06$1393.83$1647.50
10.0%$706.79$847.46$1010.38$1198.19$1413.74
11.0%$622.47$744.69$886.03$1048.75$1235.29

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $66.46
Yahoo: $1099.31

Results

Graham Number$1282.13
Current Price$1049.19
Margin of Safety+22.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.42%
Computed WACC: 6.42%
Cost of equity (Re)8.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.70%
Debt weight (D/V)24.30%

Results

Current Price$1049.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.6%
Historical Revenue Growth0.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-80.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$233.51M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$154.91
Current Price$1049.19
Upside / Downside-85.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $487.46M
Current: 9.8×
Default: $112.95M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1368.57
Current Price$1049.19
Upside / Downside+30.4%
Implied EV$4.76B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.89B-$887.05M$112.95M$1.11B$2.11B
5.8x$1383.33$1089.08$794.83$500.57$206.32
7.8x$1670.21$1375.95$1081.70$787.45$493.19
9.8x$1957.08$1662.83$1368.57$1074.32$780.07
11.8x$2243.96$1949.70$1655.45$1361.19$1066.94
13.8x$2530.83$2236.58$1942.32$1648.07$1353.81