GHG

GHG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.36)
DCF$-29.84-2293.8%
Graham Number$3.79+178.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$1.24-9.1%
EV/EBITDA$2.52+85.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$109.84M
Rev: -15.0% / EPS: -6.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-29.84
Current Price$1.36
Upside / Downside-2293.8%
Net Debt (used)$63.49M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-30.08$-35.97$-42.83$-50.76$-59.90
8.0%$-24.90$-29.64$-35.15$-41.52$-48.84
9.0%$-21.31$-25.26$-29.84$-35.12$-41.20
10.0%$-18.67$-22.04$-25.94$-30.44$-35.60
11.0%$-16.65$-19.58$-22.96$-26.86$-31.33

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.26
Yahoo: $2.46

Results

Graham Number$3.79
Current Price$1.36
Margin of Safety+178.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.36
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-15.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$109.84M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.06

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.24
Current Price$1.36
Upside / Downside-9.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $229.18M
Current: 1.0×
Default: $63.49M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.52
Current Price$1.36
Upside / Downside+85.0%
Implied EV$231.47M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.94B-$936.51M$63.49M$1.06B$2.06B
-3.0x$18.74$3.76$-11.21$-26.19$-41.17
-1.0x$25.61$10.63$-4.35$-19.33$-34.31
1.0x$32.47$17.49$2.52$-12.46$-27.44
3.0x$39.34$24.36$9.38$-5.60$-20.58
5.0x$46.20$31.23$16.25$1.27$-13.71