GHM

GHM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($82.94)
DCF$-811.80-1078.8%
Graham Number$19.05-77.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$87.12+5.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$11.35M
Rev: 20.5% / EPS: 78.6%
Computed: 9.40%
Computed WACC: 9.40%
Cost of equity (Re)9.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.35%
Debt weight (D/V)0.65%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-747.53
Current Price$82.94
Upside / Downside-1001.3%
Net Debt (used)-$16.20M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term70.6%74.6%78.6%82.6%86.6%
7.0%$-1048.47$-1176.73$-1317.25$-1470.89$-1638.56
8.0%$-809.15$-908.01$-1016.33$-1134.75$-1263.97
9.0%$-646.48$-725.38$-811.80$-906.29$-1009.39
10.0%$-529.58$-594.13$-664.84$-742.13$-826.46
11.0%$-442.12$-495.94$-554.89$-619.33$-689.62

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.35
Yahoo: $11.95

Results

Graham Number$19.05
Current Price$82.94
Margin of Safety-77.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.40%
Computed WACC: 9.40%
Cost of equity (Re)9.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.35%
Debt weight (D/V)0.65%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$82.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth20.5%
Historical Earnings Growth78.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$11.35M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$82.94
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $23.61M
Current: 40.2×
Default: -$16.20M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$87.12
Current Price$82.94
Upside / Downside+5.0%
Implied EV$948.45M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$16.20M$983.80M$1.98B
36.2x$259.21$168.90$78.59$-11.72$-102.03
38.2x$263.48$173.17$82.85$-7.46$-97.77
40.2x$267.74$177.43$87.12$-3.19$-93.50
42.2x$272.01$181.70$91.38$1.07$-89.24
44.2x$276.27$185.96$95.65$5.34$-84.97