GIII

GIII — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.41)
DCF$132.42+350.2%
Graham Number$55.77+89.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -19.7%
DDM$8.24-72.0%
EV/EBITDA$30.56+3.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $323.98M
Rev: -9.0% / EPS: -27.8%
Computed: 9.30%
Computed WACC: 9.30%
Cost of equity (Re)11.43%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.31%
Debt weight (D/V)18.69%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$126.40
Current Price$29.41
Upside / Downside+329.8%
Net Debt (used)$101.42M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$133.57$161.07$193.06$230.09$272.73
8.0%$109.38$131.51$157.22$186.94$221.12
9.0%$92.61$111.04$132.42$157.09$185.44
10.0%$80.30$96.03$114.23$135.22$159.32
11.0%$70.88$84.54$100.34$118.52$139.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.26
Yahoo: $42.41

Results

Graham Number$55.77
Current Price$29.41
Margin of Safety+89.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.30%
Computed WACC: 9.30%
Cost of equity (Re)11.43%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.31%
Debt weight (D/V)18.69%

Results

Current Price$29.41
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-19.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-9.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-27.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$323.98M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$29.41
Upside / Downside-72.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $246.49M
Current: 5.6×
Default: $101.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$30.56
Current Price$29.41
Upside / Downside+3.9%
Implied EV$1.39B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.90B-$898.58M$101.42M$1.10B$2.10B
1.6x$54.59$30.89$7.19$-16.51$-40.22
3.6x$66.28$42.58$18.87$-4.83$-28.53
5.6x$77.96$54.26$30.56$6.86$-16.85
7.6x$89.65$65.95$42.24$18.54$-5.16
9.6x$101.33$77.63$53.93$30.23$6.52