GIS

GIS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.12)
DCF$57.08+26.5%
Graham Number$42.74-5.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.3%
DDM$50.26+11.4%
EV/EBITDA$45.15+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.48B
Rev: -7.2% / EPS: -45.8%
Computed: 3.66%
Computed WACC: 3.66%
Cost of equity (Re)3.78%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.67%
Debt weight (D/V)36.33%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$437.30
Current Price$45.12
Upside / Downside+869.2%
Net Debt (used)$13.05B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$57.78$74.41$93.76$116.15$141.95
8.0%$43.15$56.53$72.08$90.06$110.73
9.0%$33.01$44.15$57.08$72.00$89.15
10.0%$25.56$35.07$46.08$58.78$73.35
11.0%$19.86$28.12$37.68$48.68$61.29

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.65
Yahoo: $17.46

Results

Graham Number$42.74
Current Price$45.12
Margin of Safety-5.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.66%
Computed WACC: 3.66%
Cost of equity (Re)3.78%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.67%
Debt weight (D/V)36.33%

Results

Current Price$45.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-7.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-45.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.48B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$50.26
Current Price$45.12
Upside / Downside+11.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.54B
Current: 10.5×
Default: $13.05B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$45.15
Current Price$45.12
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$37.14B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.05B$10.05B$13.05B$16.05B$19.05B
6.5x$29.82$24.20$18.58$12.96$7.33
8.5x$43.11$37.48$31.86$26.24$20.62
10.5x$56.39$50.77$45.15$39.52$33.90
12.5x$69.67$64.05$58.43$52.81$47.18
14.5x$82.96$77.33$71.71$66.09$60.47