GLUE

GLUE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.50)
DCF$77.59+319.4%
Graham Number$5.35-71.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.7%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$15.16-18.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $48.56M
Rev: 38.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 12.82%
Computed WACC: 12.82%
Cost of equity (Re)13.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.23%
Debt weight (D/V)2.77%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$44.60
Current Price$18.50
Upside / Downside+141.1%
Net Debt (used)-$351.09M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term30.5%34.5%38.5%42.5%46.5%
7.0%$90.13$103.74$119.04$136.20$155.38
8.0%$71.89$82.53$94.50$107.91$122.89
9.0%$59.41$68.03$77.72$88.57$100.69
10.0%$50.39$57.54$65.58$74.58$84.63
11.0%$43.59$49.64$56.44$64.04$72.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.32
Yahoo: $3.98

Results

Graham Number$5.35
Current Price$18.50
Margin of Safety-71.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.82%
Computed WACC: 12.82%
Cost of equity (Re)13.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.23%
Debt weight (D/V)2.77%

Results

Current Price$18.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth18.0%
Historical Revenue Growth38.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$48.56M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$18.50
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $16.84M
Current: 47.8×
Default: -$351.09M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.16
Current Price$18.50
Upside / Downside-18.1%
Implied EV$804.75M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.35B-$1.35B-$351.09M$648.91M$1.65B
43.8x$40.51$27.39$14.28$1.16$-11.96
45.8x$40.95$27.83$14.72$1.60$-11.51
47.8x$41.39$28.28$15.16$2.04$-11.07
49.8x$41.83$28.72$15.60$2.49$-10.63
51.8x$42.28$29.16$16.04$2.93$-10.19