GM

GM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($76.15)
DCF$51.29-32.6%
Graham Number$70.53-7.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.4%
DDM$14.83-80.5%
EV/EBITDA$80.03+5.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.56B
Rev: -5.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.12%
Computed WACC: 4.12%
Cost of equity (Re)11.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)35.06%
Debt weight (D/V)64.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$558.48
Current Price$76.15
Upside / Downside+633.4%
Net Debt (used)$103.91B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$52.72$86.63$126.07$171.73$224.31
8.0%$22.89$50.18$81.88$118.52$160.67
9.0%$2.21$24.93$51.29$81.72$116.67
10.0%$-12.97$6.42$28.87$54.75$84.46
11.0%$-24.59$-7.74$11.74$34.16$59.87

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.27
Yahoo: $67.61

Results

Graham Number$70.53
Current Price$76.15
Margin of Safety-7.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.12%
Computed WACC: 4.12%
Cost of equity (Re)11.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)35.06%
Debt weight (D/V)64.94%

Results

Current Price$76.15
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-12.6%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$8.56B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.83
Current Price$76.15
Upside / Downside-80.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $17.63B
Current: 10.0×
Default: $103.91B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$80.03
Current Price$76.15
Upside / Downside+5.1%
Implied EV$176.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$51.91B$77.91B$103.91B$129.91B$155.91B
6.0x$59.55$30.79$2.02$-26.74$-55.50
8.0x$98.55$69.79$41.03$12.27$-16.50
10.0x$137.56$108.79$80.03$51.27$22.51
12.0x$176.56$147.80$119.03$90.27$61.51
14.0x$215.56$186.80$158.04$129.28$100.51