GNK

GNK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.96)
DCF$-4.43-118.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$19.57-18.3%
EV/EBITDA$24.48+2.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.15M
Rev: 10.8% / EPS: 21.7%
Computed: 8.88%
Computed WACC: 8.88%
Cost of equity (Re)10.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.21%
Debt weight (D/V)15.79%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4.45
Current Price$23.96
Upside / Downside-118.6%
Net Debt (used)$139.08M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.7%17.7%21.7%25.7%29.7%
7.0%$-4.54$-4.78$-5.06$-5.37$-5.72
8.0%$-4.28$-4.47$-4.68$-4.93$-5.21
9.0%$-4.09$-4.25$-4.42$-4.63$-4.85
10.0%$-3.96$-4.09$-4.24$-4.41$-4.60
11.0%$-3.86$-3.97$-4.10$-4.24$-4.40

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.10
Yahoo: $20.73

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$23.96
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.88%
Computed WACC: 8.88%
Cost of equity (Re)10.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.21%
Debt weight (D/V)15.79%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$23.96
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.8%
Historical Earnings Growth21.7%
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.15M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.95

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$19.57
Current Price$23.96
Upside / Downside-18.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $60.89M
Current: 19.7×
Default: $139.08M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.48
Current Price$23.96
Upside / Downside+2.2%
Implied EV$1.20B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.86B-$860.92M$139.08M$1.14B$2.14B
15.7x$65.03$41.94$18.86$-4.23$-27.31
17.7x$67.84$44.75$21.67$-1.42$-24.50
19.7x$70.65$47.57$24.48$1.40$-21.69
21.7x$73.46$50.38$27.29$4.21$-18.88
23.7x$76.27$53.19$30.10$7.02$-16.07