GNL-PA

GNL-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.14)
DCF$328.45+1319.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$37.29+61.1%
EV/EBITDA$68.76+197.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.48B
Rev: -15.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 3.82%
Computed WACC: 3.82%
Cost of equity (Re)10.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.00%
Debt weight (D/V)63.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1765.27
Current Price$23.14
Upside / Downside+7528.7%
Net Debt (used)$2.38B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$331.55$405.28$491.06$590.33$704.67
8.0%$266.68$326.02$394.96$474.63$566.29
9.0%$221.73$271.14$328.45$394.60$470.62
10.0%$188.72$230.88$279.70$335.98$400.57
11.0%$163.46$200.08$242.44$291.20$347.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.14
Yahoo: $7.71

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$23.14
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.82%
Computed WACC: 3.82%
Cost of equity (Re)10.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.00%
Debt weight (D/V)63.00%

Results

Current Price$23.14
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-15.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$1.48B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.81

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.29
Current Price$23.14
Upside / Downside+61.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $374.47M
Current: 19.6×
Default: $2.38B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$68.76
Current Price$23.14
Upside / Downside+197.1%
Implied EV$7.33B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$379.25M$1.38B$2.38B$3.38B$4.38B
15.6x$75.73$61.85$47.96$34.08$20.20
17.6x$86.13$72.25$58.36$44.48$30.59
19.6x$96.53$82.64$68.76$54.88$40.99
21.6x$106.93$93.04$79.16$65.27$51.39
23.6x$117.32$103.44$89.56$75.67$61.79