GOLD

GOLD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($56.86)
DCF$24768.69+43460.8%
Graham Number$16.84-70.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.8%
DDM$16.48-71.0%
EV/EBITDA$53.07-6.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $90.49M
Rev: 136.2% / EPS: 70.4%
Computed: 5.87%
Computed WACC: 5.87%
Cost of equity (Re)6.96%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.03%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.52%
Debt weight (D/V)36.48%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$59222.72
Current Price$56.86
Upside / Downside+104055.3%
Net Debt (used)$766.71M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term128.2%132.2%136.2%140.2%144.2%
7.0%$34512.72$37644.16$40998.79$44588.33$48424.91
8.0%$26366.63$28758.76$31321.34$34063.32$36993.99
9.0%$20850.83$22742.39$24768.69$26936.83$29254.12
10.0%$16903.71$18437.08$20079.65$21837.17$23715.56
11.0%$13964.06$15230.68$16587.49$18039.22$19590.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.48
Yahoo: $26.26

Results

Graham Number$16.84
Current Price$56.86
Margin of Safety-70.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.87%
Computed WACC: 5.87%
Cost of equity (Re)6.96%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.03%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.52%
Debt weight (D/V)36.48%

Results

Current Price$56.86
Implied Near-term FCF Growth0.9%
Historical Revenue Growth136.2%
Historical Earnings Growth70.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$90.49M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.48
Current Price$56.86
Upside / Downside-71.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $86.85M
Current: 26.0×
Default: $766.71M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$53.07
Current Price$56.86
Upside / Downside-6.7%
Implied EV$2.26B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.23B-$233.29M$766.71M$1.77B$2.77B
22.0x$111.81$76.27$40.73$5.19$-30.35
24.0x$117.98$82.44$46.90$11.36$-24.18
26.0x$124.15$88.61$53.07$17.53$-18.01
28.0x$130.33$94.79$59.25$23.71$-11.83
30.0x$136.50$100.96$65.42$29.88$-5.66