GOOD

GOOD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.34)
DCF$32.30+161.7%
Graham Number$3.34-72.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.4%
DDM$24.72+100.3%
EV/EBITDA$16.01+29.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $71.00M
Rev: 16.3% / EPS: -50.6%
Computed: 4.30%
Computed WACC: 4.30%
Cost of equity (Re)10.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)41.43%
Debt weight (D/V)58.57%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$180.08
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside+1359.3%
Net Debt (used)$837.84M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term8.3%12.3%16.3%20.3%24.3%
7.0%$35.87$45.83$57.26$70.33$85.22
8.0%$25.54$33.45$42.52$52.89$64.70
9.0%$18.42$24.92$32.38$40.90$50.58
10.0%$13.22$18.71$24.99$32.16$40.30
11.0%$9.28$13.99$19.38$25.52$32.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.14
Yahoo: $3.55

Results

Graham Number$3.34
Current Price$12.34
Margin of Safety-72.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.30%
Computed WACC: 4.30%
Cost of equity (Re)10.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)41.43%
Debt weight (D/V)58.57%

Results

Current Price$12.34
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-11.3%
Historical Revenue Growth16.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-50.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$71.00M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside+100.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $112.31M
Current: 14.4×
Default: $837.84M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.01
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside+29.7%
Implied EV$1.61B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.16B-$162.16M$837.84M$1.84B$2.84B
10.4x$48.04$27.38$6.73$-13.93$-34.59
12.4x$52.68$32.02$11.37$-9.29$-29.95
14.4x$57.32$36.66$16.01$-4.65$-25.31
16.4x$61.96$41.30$20.65$-0.01$-20.67
18.4x$66.60$45.95$25.29$4.63$-16.03