GOOGL

GOOGL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($302.02)
DCF$515.21+70.6%
Graham Number$91.41-69.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 21.2%
DDM$17.30-94.3%
EV/EBITDA$627.54+107.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $38.09B
Rev: 18.0% / EPS: 31.1%
Computed: 10.09%
Computed WACC: 10.09%
Cost of equity (Re)10.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.20%
Debt weight (D/V)1.80%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$428.23
Current Price$302.02
Upside / Downside+41.8%
Net Debt (used)-$59.85B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term23.1%27.1%31.1%35.1%39.1%
7.0%$586.76$683.57$793.15$916.73$1055.62
8.0%$466.63$542.68$628.72$725.70$834.67
9.0%$384.33$446.17$516.10$594.89$683.37
10.0%$324.66$376.22$434.48$500.10$573.77
11.0%$279.59$323.39$372.86$428.55$491.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.81
Yahoo: $34.35

Results

Graham Number$91.41
Current Price$302.02
Margin of Safety-69.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.09%
Computed WACC: 10.09%
Cost of equity (Re)10.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.20%
Debt weight (D/V)1.80%

Results

Current Price$302.02
Implied Near-term FCF Growth24.5%
Historical Revenue Growth18.0%
Historical Earnings Growth31.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$38.09B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$17.30
Current Price$302.02
Upside / Downside-94.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $150.18B
Current: 23.9×
Default: -$59.85B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$627.54
Current Price$302.02
Upside / Downside+107.8%
Implied EV$3.59T
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$89.85B-$74.85B-$59.85B-$44.85B-$29.85B
19.9x$529.51$526.94$524.36$521.79$519.21
21.9x$581.10$578.53$575.95$573.37$570.80
23.9x$632.69$630.12$627.54$624.96$622.39
25.9x$684.28$681.70$679.13$676.55$673.98
27.9x$735.87$733.29$730.72$728.14$725.56
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