GOVX

GOVX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.57)
DCF$-115.88-7480.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$14.96M
Rev: — / EPS: —
Computed: 25.64%
Computed WACC: 25.64%
Cost of equity (Re)25.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-30.17
Current Price$1.57
Upside / Downside-2021.9%
Net Debt (used)-$5.01M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-116.89$-140.99$-169.02$-201.46$-238.83
8.0%$-95.69$-115.09$-137.61$-163.65$-193.61
9.0%$-81.00$-97.15$-115.88$-137.50$-162.34
10.0%$-70.22$-83.99$-99.95$-118.34$-139.45
11.0%$-61.96$-73.93$-87.77$-103.71$-121.97

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-31.75
Yahoo: $4.13

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$1.57
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 25.64%
Computed WACC: 25.64%
Cost of equity (Re)25.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$14.96M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.57
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$25.47M
Current: 0.1×
Default: -$5.01M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.83
Current Price$1.57
Upside / Downside-47.0%
Implied EV-$3.16M