GPGI

GPGI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.54)
DCF$7.74-65.7%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 24.3%
DDM$0.21-99.1%
EV/EBITDA$9.75-56.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $120.28M
Rev: — / EPS: —
Computed: 9.92%
Computed WACC: 9.92%
Cost of equity (Re)9.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.47%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$6.82
Current Price$22.54
Upside / Downside-69.7%
Net Debt (used)-$127.36M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$7.80$9.29$11.02$13.02$15.33
8.0%$6.49$7.69$9.08$10.69$12.54
9.0%$5.58$6.58$7.74$9.07$10.61
10.0%$4.92$5.77$6.75$7.89$9.19
11.0%$4.41$5.15$6.00$6.98$8.11

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-2.34
Yahoo: $1.22

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$22.54
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.92%
Computed WACC: 9.92%
Cost of equity (Re)9.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.47%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Current Price$22.54
Implied Near-term FCF Growth27.2%
Historical Revenue Growth
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$120.28M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.01

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$0.21
Current Price$22.54
Upside / Downside-99.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.92M
Current: 208.6×
Default: -$127.36M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.75
Current Price$22.54
Upside / Downside-56.7%
Implied EV$2.69B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.13B-$1.13B-$127.36M$872.64M$1.87B
204.6x$16.48$13.03$9.57$6.12$2.66
206.6x$16.57$13.12$9.66$6.21$2.75
208.6x$16.66$13.21$9.75$6.30$2.84
210.6x$16.75$13.29$9.84$6.38$2.93
212.6x$16.84$13.38$9.93$6.47$3.02