GRBK-PA

GRBK-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($21.97)
DCF$1231210552.38+5604053392.9%
Graham Number$64.49+193.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$29.66+35.0%
EV/EBITDA$1085921119.36+4942745095.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $80.06M
Rev: -2.6% / EPS: -23.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1231210552.38
Current Price$21.97
Upside / Downside+5604053392.9%
Net Debt (used)$174.32M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$1243285222.56$1529957169.96$1863466418.35$2249466041.98$2694050664.21
8.0%$991039527.28$1221775983.27$1489803709.19$1799600555.99$2155993103.83
9.0%$816243233.10$1008368714.64$1231210552.38$1488438195.69$1784006028.14
10.0%$687923205.21$851827864.84$1041655198.98$1260486117.57$1511640063.43
11.0%$589681572.21$732084654.53$896768096.49$1086366340.82$1303717199.03

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.41
Yahoo: $41.92

Results

Graham Number$64.49
Current Price$21.97
Margin of Safety+193.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$21.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-23.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$80.06M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$21.97
Upside / Downside+35.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $414.55M
Current: 3.0×
Default: $174.32M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1085921119.36
Current Price$21.97
Upside / Downside+4942745095.1%
Implied EV$1.26B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.83B-$825.68M$174.32M$1.17B$2.17B
-1.0x$1427705183.36$427705183.36$-572294816.64$-1572294816.64$-2572294816.64
1.0x$2256813151.36$1256813151.36$256813151.36$-743186848.64$-1743186848.64
3.0x$3085921119.36$2085921119.36$1085921119.36$85921119.36$-914078880.64
5.0x$3915029087.36$2915029087.36$1915029087.36$915029087.36$-84970912.64
7.0x$4744137055.36$3744137055.36$2744137055.36$1744137055.36$744137055.36