GRBK

GRBK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($72.40)
DCF$28.26-61.0%
Graham Number$84.78+17.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$74.51+2.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $80.06M
Rev: -2.6% / EPS: -23.0%
Computed: 13.73%
Computed WACC: 13.73%
Cost of equity (Re)15.16%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.56%
Debt weight (D/V)9.44%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$14.53
Current Price$72.40
Upside / Downside-79.9%
Net Debt (used)$174.32M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$28.54$35.12$42.77$51.63$61.84
8.0%$22.75$28.04$34.20$41.31$49.49
9.0%$18.74$23.15$28.26$34.17$40.95
10.0%$15.79$19.55$23.91$28.93$34.70
11.0%$13.54$16.80$20.58$24.94$29.93

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.62
Yahoo: $41.92

Results

Graham Number$84.78
Current Price$72.40
Margin of Safety+17.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 13.73%
Computed WACC: 13.73%
Cost of equity (Re)15.16%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.56%
Debt weight (D/V)9.44%

Results

Current Price$72.40
Implied Near-term FCF Growth32.6%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-23.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$80.06M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$72.40
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $414.55M
Current: 8.3×
Default: $174.32M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$74.51
Current Price$72.40
Upside / Downside+2.9%
Implied EV$3.42B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.83B-$825.68M$174.32M$1.17B$2.17B
4.3x$82.36$59.40$36.45$13.50$-9.46
6.3x$101.39$78.44$55.48$32.53$9.57
8.3x$120.42$97.47$74.51$51.56$28.60
10.3x$139.45$116.50$93.54$70.59$47.64
12.3x$158.48$135.53$112.58$89.62$66.67