GRDN

GRDN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($33.66)
DCF$65.65+95.0%
Graham Number$6.66-80.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$59.11+75.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $57.09M
Rev: 20.0% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$65.65
Current Price$33.66
Upside / Downside+95.0%
Net Debt (used)$2.82M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term12.0%16.0%20.0%24.0%28.0%
7.0%$71.48$84.52$99.43$116.42$135.71
8.0%$57.28$67.60$79.41$92.85$108.09
9.0%$47.51$55.98$65.65$76.65$89.12
10.0%$40.40$47.52$55.64$64.87$75.32
11.0%$35.01$41.10$48.05$55.94$64.87

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.68
Yahoo: $2.90

Results

Graham Number$6.66
Current Price$33.66
Margin of Safety-80.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$33.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.4%
Historical Revenue Growth20.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$57.09M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$33.66
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $84.06M
Current: 25.5×
Default: $2.82M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$59.11
Current Price$33.66
Upside / Downside+75.6%
Implied EV$2.15B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.00B-$997.18M$2.82M$1.00B$2.00B
21.5x$105.01$77.42$49.84$22.26$-5.33
23.5x$109.64$82.06$54.48$26.89$-0.69
25.5x$114.28$86.70$59.11$31.53$3.95
27.5x$118.92$91.34$63.75$36.17$8.59
29.5x$123.56$95.97$68.39$40.81$13.22