GRMN

GRMN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($255.16)
DCF$196.71-22.9%
Graham Number$95.38-62.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 26.2%
DDM$86.52-66.1%
EV/EBITDA$255.16+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $790.87M
Rev: 16.6% / EPS: 21.2%
Computed: 9.76%
Computed WACC: 9.76%
Cost of equity (Re)9.79%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.60%
Debt weight (D/V)0.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$174.58
Current Price$255.16
Upside / Downside-31.6%
Net Debt (used)-$2.54B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.2%17.2%21.2%25.2%29.2%
7.0%$214.06$250.34$291.79$338.96$392.43
8.0%$173.95$202.65$235.43$272.70$314.92
9.0%$146.38$169.89$196.71$227.19$261.71
10.0%$126.31$146.05$168.56$194.11$223.03
11.0%$111.10$127.99$147.22$169.05$193.74

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $8.68
Yahoo: $46.58

Results

Graham Number$95.38
Current Price$255.16
Margin of Safety-62.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.76%
Computed WACC: 9.76%
Cost of equity (Re)9.79%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.60%
Debt weight (D/V)0.40%

Results

Current Price$255.16
Implied Near-term FCF Growth28.6%
Historical Revenue Growth16.6%
Historical Earnings Growth21.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$790.87M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$86.52
Current Price$255.16
Upside / Downside-66.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.06B
Current: 22.6×
Default: -$2.54B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$255.16
Current Price$255.16
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$46.57B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$4.54B-$3.54B-$2.54B-$1.54B-$541.86M
18.6x$222.64$217.45$212.25$207.06$201.86
20.6x$244.10$238.90$233.71$228.51$223.32
22.6x$265.55$260.36$255.16$249.97$244.77
24.6x$287.01$281.81$276.62$271.42$266.23
26.6x$308.46$303.27$298.07$292.88$287.68