GTLS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($207.06)
DCF	$140.06	-32.4%
Graham Number	$36.37	-82.4%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 9.6%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$211.00	+1.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $550.12M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 3.6% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.85%

Computed WACC: 9.85%

Cost of equity (Re)13.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.73 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)71.22%

Debt weight (D/V)28.78%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$114.92

Current Price$207.06

Upside / Downside-44.5%

Net Debt (used)$3.36B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$141.90	$185.72	$236.70	$295.71	$363.67
8.0%	$103.34	$138.61	$179.58	$226.94	$281.42
9.0%	$76.62	$105.99	$140.06	$179.38	$224.56
10.0%	$57.01	$82.06	$111.08	$144.53	$182.92
11.0%	$41.99	$63.76	$88.93	$117.92	$151.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.87

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $67.58

Results

Graham Number$36.37

Current Price$207.06

Margin of Safety-82.4%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.85%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.85%

Cost of equity (Re)13.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.73 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)71.22%

Debt weight (D/V)28.78%

Results

Current Price$207.06

Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.9%

Historical Revenue Growth3.6%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$550.12M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$207.06

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $996.90M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 12.9×

Net Debt($B)Default: $3.36B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$211.00

Current Price$207.06

Upside / Downside+1.9%

Implied EV$12.85B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.36B	$2.36B	$3.36B	$4.36B	$5.36B
8.9x	$166.78	$144.53	$122.29	$100.04	$77.80
10.9x	$211.13	$188.89	$166.64	$144.40	$122.15
12.9x	$255.49	$233.24	$211.00	$188.75	$166.50
14.9x	$299.84	$277.59	$255.35	$233.10	$210.86
16.9x	$344.19	$321.95	$299.70	$277.46	$255.21

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