GTX

GTX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.30)
DCF$23.71+22.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.9%
DDM$6.59-65.8%
EV/EBITDA$20.06+4.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $318.75M
Rev: 5.6% / EPS: -9.8%
Computed: 4.58%
Computed WACC: 4.58%
Cost of equity (Re)6.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.38 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.87%
Debt weight (D/V)28.13%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$89.86
Current Price$19.30
Upside / Downside+365.7%
Net Debt (used)$1.29B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.4%1.6%5.6%9.6%13.6%
7.0%$24.08$30.30$37.53$45.90$55.52
8.0%$18.55$23.56$29.36$36.07$43.78
9.0%$14.72$18.89$23.71$29.28$35.67
10.0%$11.92$15.46$19.57$24.30$29.73
11.0%$9.77$12.85$16.41$20.51$25.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.52
Yahoo: $-4.21

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$19.30
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.58%
Computed WACC: 4.58%
Cost of equity (Re)6.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.38 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.87%
Debt weight (D/V)28.13%

Results

Current Price$19.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-13.1%
Historical Revenue Growth5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$318.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59
Current Price$19.30
Upside / Downside-65.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $605.00M
Current: 8.4×
Default: $1.29B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$20.06
Current Price$19.30
Upside / Downside+4.0%
Implied EV$5.10B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.29B$1.29B$1.29B$1.29B$1.29B
4.4x$7.32$7.32$7.32$7.32$7.32
6.4x$13.69$13.69$13.69$13.69$13.69
8.4x$20.06$20.06$20.06$20.06$20.06
10.4x$26.43$26.43$26.43$26.43$26.43
12.4x$32.80$32.80$32.80$32.80$32.80