GVA

GVA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($131.72)
DCF$218.01+65.5%
Graham Number$48.46-63.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.0%
DDM$10.71-91.9%
EV/EBITDA$134.81+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $184.49M
Rev: 19.2% / EPS: 25.1%
Computed: 9.00%
Computed WACC: 9.00%
Cost of equity (Re)11.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.33%
Debt weight (D/V)20.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$218.42
Current Price$131.72
Upside / Downside+65.8%
Net Debt (used)$761.85M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term17.1%21.1%25.1%29.1%33.1%
7.0%$245.10$291.20$343.66$403.15$470.34
8.0%$191.66$228.02$269.38$316.25$369.16
9.0%$154.98$184.67$218.42$256.64$299.77
10.0%$128.33$153.18$181.41$213.37$249.41
11.0%$108.16$129.36$153.42$180.64$211.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.85
Yahoo: $27.11

Results

Graham Number$48.46
Current Price$131.72
Margin of Safety-63.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.00%
Computed WACC: 9.00%
Cost of equity (Re)11.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.33%
Debt weight (D/V)20.67%

Results

Current Price$131.72
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.0%
Historical Revenue Growth19.2%
Historical Earnings Growth25.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$184.49M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.71
Current Price$131.72
Upside / Downside-91.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $441.87M
Current: 15.0×
Default: $761.85M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$134.81
Current Price$131.72
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$6.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.24B-$238.15M$761.85M$1.76B$2.76B
11.0x$140.16$117.17$94.19$71.20$48.21
13.0x$160.47$137.49$114.50$91.51$68.53
15.0x$180.79$157.80$134.81$111.83$88.84
17.0x$201.10$178.11$155.13$132.14$109.16
19.0x$221.42$198.43$175.44$152.46$129.47