GWRS

GWRS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.90)
DCF$-35.42-498.0%
Graham Number$3.45-61.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$6.18-30.6%
EV/EBITDA$9.11+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$42.09M
Rev: 8.4% / EPS: -50.0%
Computed: 7.87%
Computed WACC: 7.87%
Cost of equity (Re)9.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.35%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.98%
Debt weight (D/V)34.02%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-42.34
Current Price$8.90
Upside / Downside-575.7%
Net Debt (used)$116.69M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.4%4.4%8.4%12.4%16.4%
7.0%$-36.29$-42.67$-50.06$-58.57$-68.35
8.0%$-30.38$-35.49$-41.40$-48.21$-56.02
9.0%$-26.29$-30.52$-35.42$-41.05$-47.51
10.0%$-23.29$-26.89$-31.05$-35.82$-41.29
11.0%$-21.00$-24.12$-27.71$-31.83$-36.55

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.17
Yahoo: $3.12

Results

Graham Number$3.45
Current Price$8.90
Margin of Safety-61.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.87%
Computed WACC: 7.87%
Cost of equity (Re)9.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.35%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.98%
Debt weight (D/V)34.02%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$8.90
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth8.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-50.0%
Base FCF (TTM)-$42.09M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.30

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.18
Current Price$8.90
Upside / Downside-30.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $22.17M
Current: 17.1×
Default: $116.69M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.11
Current Price$8.90
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$378.60M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.88B-$883.31M$116.69M$1.12B$2.12B
13.1x$75.59$40.81$6.03$-28.76$-63.54
15.1x$77.13$42.35$7.57$-27.21$-62.00
17.1x$78.67$43.89$9.11$-25.67$-60.45
19.1x$80.22$45.43$10.65$-24.13$-58.91
21.1x$81.76$46.98$12.19$-22.59$-57.37