GWW

GWW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1151.41)
DCF$356.44-69.0%
Graham Number$250.40-78.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.9%
DDM$186.22-83.8%
EV/EBITDA$1160.83+0.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.09B
Rev: 4.5% / EPS: -2.0%
Computed: 9.79%
Computed WACC: 9.79%
Cost of equity (Re)10.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.03%
Debt weight (D/V)4.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$312.10
Current Price$1151.41
Upside / Downside-72.9%
Net Debt (used)$2.28B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$359.92$442.42$538.40$649.49$777.44
8.0%$287.32$353.72$430.86$520.02$622.59
9.0%$237.01$292.31$356.44$430.47$515.53
10.0%$200.08$247.26$301.89$364.87$437.15
11.0%$171.81$212.79$260.19$314.75$377.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $35.37
Yahoo: $78.79

Results

Graham Number$250.40
Current Price$1151.41
Margin of Safety-78.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.79%
Computed WACC: 9.79%
Cost of equity (Re)10.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.03%
Debt weight (D/V)4.97%

Results

Current Price$1151.41
Implied Near-term FCF Growth26.4%
Historical Revenue Growth4.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-2.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.09B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$186.22
Current Price$1151.41
Upside / Downside-83.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.96B
Current: 19.3×
Default: $2.28B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1160.83
Current Price$1151.41
Upside / Downside+0.8%
Implied EV$57.27B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$277.00M$1.28B$2.28B$3.28B$4.28B
15.3x$952.86$931.75$910.64$889.53$868.42
17.3x$1077.95$1056.84$1035.73$1014.63$993.52
19.3x$1203.04$1181.94$1160.83$1139.72$1118.61
21.3x$1328.14$1307.03$1285.92$1264.81$1243.70
23.3x$1453.23$1432.12$1411.01$1389.90$1368.79