GXO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($63.32)
DCF	$27.95	-55.9%
Graham Number	$12.81	-79.8%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 14.8%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$63.71	+0.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $394.12M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 7.9% / EPS: -55.5%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.60%

Computed WACC: 7.60%

Cost of equity (Re)13.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.72 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)55.33%

Debt weight (D/V)44.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$48.63

Current Price$63.32

Upside / Downside-23.2%

Net Debt (used)$5.00B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-0.1%	3.9%	7.9%	11.9%	15.9%
7.0%	$29.87	$44.47	$61.39	$80.91	$103.33
8.0%	$16.43	$28.13	$41.68	$57.30	$75.21
9.0%	$7.13	$16.84	$28.07	$40.99	$55.80
10.0%	$0.31	$8.57	$18.10	$29.06	$41.61
11.0%	$-4.89	$2.26	$10.50	$19.97	$30.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.28

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $26.05

Results

Graham Number$12.81

Current Price$63.32

Margin of Safety-79.8%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.60%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.60%

Cost of equity (Re)13.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.72 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)55.33%

Debt weight (D/V)44.67%

Results

Current Price$63.32

Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.4%

Historical Revenue Growth7.9%

Historical Earnings Growth-55.5%

Base FCF (TTM)$394.12M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$63.32

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $901.00M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 13.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: $5.00B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$63.71

Current Price$63.32

Upside / Downside+0.6%

Implied EV$12.30B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$3.00B	$4.00B	$5.00B	$6.00B	$7.00B
9.6x	$49.71	$40.97	$32.24	$23.51	$14.78
11.6x	$65.44	$56.71	$47.98	$39.24	$30.51
13.6x	$81.18	$72.45	$63.71	$54.98	$46.25
15.6x	$96.92	$88.18	$79.45	$70.72	$61.98
17.6x	$112.65	$103.92	$95.19	$86.45	$77.72

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