HAFC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($26.36)
DCF	$-2.26	-108.6%
Graham Number	$38.94	+47.7%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$23.07	-12.5%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 15.7% / EPS: 20.5%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 5.98%

Computed WACC: 5.98%

Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)73.79%

Debt weight (D/V)26.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-2.26

Current Price$26.36

Upside / Downside-108.6%

Net Debt (used)$67.62M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	12.5%	16.5%	20.5%	24.5%	28.5%
7.0%	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26
8.0%	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26
9.0%	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26
10.0%	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26
11.0%	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26	$-2.26

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $2.51

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $26.85

Results

Graham Number$38.94

Current Price$26.36

Margin of Safety+47.7%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 5.98%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 5.98%

Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)73.79%

Debt weight (D/V)26.21%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$26.36

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth15.7%

Historical Earnings Growth20.5%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.12

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$23.07

Current Price$26.36

Upside / Downside-12.5%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $67.62M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-2.26

Current Price$26.36

Upside / Downside-108.6%

Implied EV$0

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