HASI

HASI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.63)
DCF$-39.16-206.9%
Graham Number$25.34-30.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$34.81-5.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -9.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.23%
Computed WACC: 8.23%
Cost of equity (Re)12.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.65%
Debt weight (D/V)52.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-39.16
Current Price$36.63
Upside / Downside-206.9%
Net Debt (used)$5.02B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16
8.0%$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16
9.0%$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16
10.0%$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16
11.0%$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16$-39.16

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.41
Yahoo: $20.25

Results

Graham Number$25.34
Current Price$36.63
Margin of Safety-30.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.23%
Computed WACC: 8.23%
Cost of equity (Re)12.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.65%
Debt weight (D/V)52.35%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$36.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-9.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.69

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$34.81
Current Price$36.63
Upside / Downside-5.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $5.02B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-39.16
Current Price$36.63
Upside / Downside-206.9%
Implied EV$0