HBCP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($60.51)
DCF	$10.71	-82.3%
Graham Number	$85.66	+41.6%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$24.31	-59.8%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 10.5% / EPS: 20.6%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.61%

Computed WACC: 6.61%

Cost of equity (Re)7.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.57 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)89.15%

Debt weight (D/V)10.85%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$10.71

Current Price$60.51

Upside / Downside-82.3%

Net Debt (used)-$83.91M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	12.6%	16.6%	20.6%	24.6%	28.6%
7.0%	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71
8.0%	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71
9.0%	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71
10.0%	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71
11.0%	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71	$10.71

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $5.87

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $55.56

Results

Graham Number$85.66

Current Price$60.51

Margin of Safety+41.6%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.61%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.61%

Cost of equity (Re)7.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.57 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)89.15%

Debt weight (D/V)10.85%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$60.51

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth10.5%

Historical Earnings Growth20.6%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.18

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.31

Current Price$60.51

Upside / Downside-59.8%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$83.91M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.71

Current Price$60.51

Upside / Downside-82.3%

Implied EV$0

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