HCM

HCM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.48)
DCF$-95813724862.11-710520762889.1%
Graham Number$9.23-31.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$22.78M
Rev: -9.2% / EPS: 1633.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-95787643565.05
Current Price$13.48
Upside / Downside-710327353196.4%
Net Debt (used)-$1.26B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1625.3%1629.3%1633.3%1637.3%1641.3%
7.0%$-159321749746.00$-161177220880.76$-163049939037.21$-164940024173.11$-166847596801.19
8.0%$-120033327800.34$-121431243492.95$-122842153126.41$-124266147077.16$-125703316139.71
9.0%$-93597428306.71$-94687469845.23$-95787643565.05$-96898019938.25$-98018669762.97
10.0%$-74809785320.08$-75681024782.73$-76560362612.13$-77447855134.64$-78343558937.20
11.0%$-60920976259.83$-61630465775.84$-62346550156.44$-63069275270.72$-63798687199.97

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.65
Yahoo: $1.43

Results

Graham Number$9.23
Current Price$13.48
Margin of Safety-31.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$13.48
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-9.2%
Historical Earnings Growth1633.3%
Base FCF (TTM)-$22.78M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$13.48
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$7.49M
Current: -1379.7×
Default: -$1.26B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$67.48
Current Price$13.48
Upside / Downside+400.4%
Implied EV$10.34B